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• About

  What we do & who we are

• The Mind Gym

  New thinking, new thoughts

• Possible Futures

  Scenarios & planning scenarios

• Perspectives

  Views on the present, ideas about the future

• Sizing the City

  Informing and broadening debate

Possible Futures

shell's 'trigger' questions

Shell, long expert in scenario planning, have a series of 'trigger' questions they ask in exploring possible futures.

• What two questions would you most want to ask an oracle?
  [uncovers primary uncertainties]
  
  
• What is a good scenario? A bad one? Plus if you were the oracle, how would you answer your two questions?
  
  
• If you could go back 10 years (or however far you are looking ahead) what would have been a useful scenario then?
  
  
• What are the most important decisions you face now?
  [short term issues have long-term implications]
  
  
• What constraints do you feel from the company's culture in making your decisions?
  And what decisions would fall out differently if these constraints did not exist?
  
  
• What do you want on your epitaph? (When you leave the company, how do you want people to remember you?)
  [these are the values that drive people's motivations]